【宏观】投行对标普500走势的预测与回测

Last updated on January 17, 2026 pm

2026

  • 点位: 6878 -> ?
  • PE: 29.1 -> ?
投行预测点位
Oppenheimer8,100
Deutsche Bank8,000
Morgan Stanley7,800
Wells Fargo7,800
Citi7,700
Goldman Sachs7,600
KKR7,600
JPMorgan7,500
HSBC7,500
UBS7,500
Barclays7,400
Societe Generale7,300
Bank of America7,100

2025

  • 点位: 5903 -> 6845
  • PE: 28.9 -> 29.1
投行预测点位
Oppenheimer7,100
Wells Fargo7,007
Deutsche Bank7,000
Yardeni Research7,000
DataTrek Research6,840
Societe Generale6,750
BMO6,700
Bank of America6,666
Fundstrat6,600
Barclays6,600
RBC6,600
Ned Davis Research6,600
CFRA6,585
Morgan Stanley6,500
Goldman Sachs6,500
JPMorgan6,500
Citi6,500
UBS6,400
Stifel*5,500
BCA Research4,450

2024

  • 点位: 4745 -> 5881
  • PE: 24.8 -> 28.9
投行预测点位
Yardeni Research5,400
Fundstrat5,200
Oppenheimer5,200
Goldman Sachs5,100
Deutsche Bank5,100
BMO5,100
Bank of America5,000
RBC5,000
Federated Hermes5,000
NDR4,900
Stifel4,650
Morgan Stanley4,500
JPMorgan4,200
BCA Research3,300

2023

  • 点位: 3853 -> 4769
  • PE: 20.1 -> 24.8
投行预测点位
CFRA Research4,575
Deutsche Bank4,500
Wells Fargo4,300–4,500
Oppenheimer4,400
BMO4,300
Nuveen4,300
JPMorgan4,200
Jefferies4,200
RBC4,100
Credit Suisse4,050
BofA4,000
Goldman Sachs4,000
HSBC4,000
BlackRock3,930
Morgan Stanley3,900
UBS3,900
Citi3,900
Societe Generale3,800
Capital Economics3,800
Barclays3,675

2022

  • 点位: 4778 -> 3839
  • PE: 26.4 -> 20.1
投行预测点位
BMO Capital Markets5,300
Wells Fargo5,100-5,300
Goldman Sachs5,100
JPMorgan5,050
RBC Capital Markets5,050
UBS4,850
Bank of America4,600
Morgan Stanley4,400

【宏观】投行对标普500走势的预测与回测
https://hexo.limour.top/prediction-and-backtesting-of-sp-500-trend
Author
Limour
Posted on
January 17, 2026
Updated on
January 17, 2026
Licensed under